Publications
2024 – 2023 – 2022 – 2021 – 2020 – 2019 – 2018 – 2017 – 2016 – 2015 – 2014 – before 2014
Selection
Transformation starts at the periphery of networks where pushback is less
van de Leemput, I.A., Bascompte, J., Buddendorf, W.B., Dakos, V., Lever, J.J., Scheffer, M. & van Nes, E.H. (2024)
Scientific Reports 14 (1)[full text]
Safe and just Earth system boundaries
Rockström, J., Gupta, J., Qin, D., Lade, S.J., Abrams, J.F., Andersen, L.S., Armstrong McKay, D.I., Bai, X., Bala, G., Bunn, S.E., Ciobanu, D., DeClerck, F., Ebi, K., Gifford, L., Gordon, C., Hasan, S., Kanie, N., Lenton, T.M., Loriani, S., Liverman, D.M., Mohamed, A., Nakicenovic, N., Obura, D., Ospina, D., Prodani, K., Rammelt, C., Sakschewski, B., Scholtens, J., Stewart-Koster, B., Tharammal, T., van Vuuren, D., Verburg, P.H., Winkelmann, R., Zimm, C., Bennett, E.M., Bringezu, S., Broadgate, W., Green, P.A., Huang, L., Jacobson, L., Ndehedehe, C., Pedde, S., Rocha, J., Scheffer, M., Schulte-Uebbing, L., de Vries, W., Xiao, C., Xu, C., Xu, X., Zafra-Calvo, N. & Zhang, X. (2023)
Nature 619 (7968):102-111 [full text]
Exit time as a measure of ecological resilience
Arani, B.M.S., Carpenter, S.R., Lahti, L., van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. (2021)
Science 372 (6547):eaay4895 [full text] Free reprint
Future of the human climate niche
Xu, C., Kohler, T.A., Lenton, T.M., Svenning, J.-C. & Scheffer, M. (2020)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences:201910114 [full text]
Trajectories of the Earth System in the Anthropocene
Steffen, W., Rockström, J., Richardson, K., Lenton, T.M., Folke, C., Liverman, D., Summerhayes, C.P., Barnosky, A.D., Cornell, S.E., Crucifix, M., Donges, J.F., Fetzer, I., Lade, S.J., Scheffer, M., Winkelmann, R. & Schellnhuber, H.J. (2018)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 115 (33):8252-8259 [full text]
Critical slowing down as early warning for the onset and termination of depression
van de Leemput, I.A., Wichers, M., Cramer, A.O.J., Borsboom, D., Tuerlinckx, F., Kuppens, P., van Nes, E.H., Viechtbauer, W., Giltay, E.J., Aggen, S.H., Derom, C., Jacobs, N., Kendler, K.S., van der Maas, H.L.J., Neale, M.C., Peeters, F., Thiery, E., Zachar, P. & Scheffer, M. (2014)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 111 (1):87-92 [full text]
Anticipating critical transitions
Scheffer, M., Carpenter, S.R., Lenton, T.M., Bascompte, J., Brock, W., Dakos, V., van de Koppel, J., van de Leemput, I.A., Levin, S.A., van Nes, E.H., Pascual, M. & Vandermeer, J. (2012)
Science 338 (6105):344-348 [full text]
Early-warning signals for critical transitions
Scheffer, M., Bascompte, J., Brock, W.A., Brovkin, V., Carpenter, S.R., Dakos, V., Held, H., van Nes, E.H., Rietkerk, M. & Sugihara, G. (2009)
Nature 461 (7260):53-59 [full text]