Publications 2015

2014 2016 overview

Allowing variance may enlarge the safe operating space for exploited ecosystems
Carpenter, S.R., Brock, W.A., Folke, C., van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. (2015)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 112 (46):14384-14389 [full text]

A Holistic view of Marine Regime shifts
Conversi, A., Dakos, V., Gårdmark, A., Ling, S., Folke, C., Mumby, P.J., Greene, C., Edwards, M., Blenckner, T., Casini, M., Pershing, A. & Möllmann, C. (2015)
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 370 (1659):1-8 [full text]

Understanding migraine using dynamic network biomarkers
Dahlem, M.A., Kurths, J., Ferrari, M.D., Aihara, K., Scheffer, M. & May, A. (2015)
Cephalalgia 35 (7):627-630 [full text]

Resilience indicators: Prospects and limitations for early warnings of regime shifts
Dakos, V., Carpenter, S.R., van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. (2015)
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 370 (1659):20130263 [full text]

Catalogue of abrupt shifts in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change climate models
Drijfhout, S., Bathiany, S., Beaulieu, C., Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Huntingford, C., Scheffer, M., Sgubin, G. & Swingedouw, D. (2015)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 112 (43):E5777-e5786 [full text]

Hysteresis in an experimental phytoplankton population
Faassen, E.J., Veraart, A.J., Van Nes, E.H., Dakos, V., Lürling, M. & Scheffer, M. (2015)
Oikos in press [full text]

Synchronous failure: The emerging causal architecture of global crisis
Homer-Dixon, T., Walker, B., Biggs, R., Crépin, A.S., Folke, C., Lambin, E.F., Peterson, G.D., Rockström, J., Scheffer, M., Steffen, W. & Troell, M. (2015)
Ecology and Society 20 (3)[full text]

How to Break the Cycle of Low Workforce Diversity: A Model for Change
O’Brien, K.R., Scheffer, M., van Nes, E.H. & van der Lee, R. (2015)
PLoS ONE 10 (7):e0133208 [full text]

Early warning signs for acute episodes in chronic diseases
Olde Rikkert, M.G.M., Melis, R.J.F., Claassen, J.A.H.R., Ferrari, M.D., Lagro, J., Tolner, E.A. & Scheffer, M. (2015)
Nederlands Tijdschrift voor Geneeskunde 159 (5):A8150 [full text]

A message from magic to science: Seeing how the brain can be tricked may strengthen our thinking
Österblom, H., Scheffer, M., Westley, F.R., van Esso, M.L., Miller, J. & Bascompte, J. (2015)
Ecology and Society 20 (4)[full text]

Creating a safe operating space for iconic ecosystems
Scheffer, M., Barrett, S., Carpenter, S., Folke, C., Green, A.J., Holmgren, M., Hughes, T., Kosten, S., Van de Leemput, I. & Nepstad, D. (2015)
Science 347 (6228):1317-1319 [full text]

Dual thinking for scientists
Scheffer, M., Bascompte, J., Bjordam, T.K., Carpenter, S.R., Clarke, L.B., Folke, C., Marquet, P., Mazzeo, N., Meerhoff, M., Sala, O. & Westley, F.R. (2015)
Ecology and Society 20 (2)[full text]

Generic Indicators of Ecological Resilience: Inferring the Chance of a Critical Transition
Scheffer, M., Carpenter, S.R., Dakos, V. & Van Nes, E.H. (2015)
Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics 46:145-167 [full text]

The mystery of missing trubs revisited: A response to McGlone et al. and Qian and Ricklefs
Scheffer, M., Vergnon, R., Cornelissen, J.H.H.C., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., van Nes, E.H. & Xu, C. (2015)
Trends in Ecology and Evolution 30 (1):7-8 [full text]

The Evolution of Functionally Redundant Species; Evidence from Beetles
Scheffer, M., Vergnon, R., van Nes, E.H., Cuppen, J.G.M., Peeters, E.T.H.M., Leijs, R. & Nilsson, A.N. (2015)
PLoS ONE 10 (10):e0137974 [full text]

Synergistic effects of drought and deforestation on the resilience of the south-eastern Amazon rainforest
Staal, A., Dekker, S.C., Hirota, M. & van Nes, E.H. (2015)
Ecological Complexity 22 (0):65-75 [full text]

Resilience of Alternative States in Spatially Extended Ecosystems
van de Leemput, I.A., van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. (2015)
PLoS ONE 10 (2):e0116859 [full text]

What if solar energy becomes really cheap? A thought experiment on environmental problem shifting
Van den Bergh, J., Folke, C., Polasky, S., Scheffer, M. & Steffen, W. (2015)
Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 14:170-179 [full text]

Causal feedbacks in climate change
van Nes, E.H., Scheffer, M., Brovkin, V., Lenton, T.M., Ye, H., Deyle, E. & Sugihara, G. (2015)
Nature Climate Change 5:445–448 [full text]

Evidencing a regime shift in the North Sea using early-warning signals as indicators of critical transitions
Wouters, N., Dakos, V., Edwards, M., Serafim, M.P., Valayer, P.J. & Cabral, H.N. (2015)
Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 152:65-72 [full text]

A Changing Number of Alternative States in the Boreal Biome: Reproducibility Risks of Replacing Remote Sensing Products
Xu, C., Holmgren, M., Van Nes, E.H., Hirota, M., Chapin III, F. & Scheffer, M. (2015)
PLoS ONE 10 (11):e0143014 [full text]

Can we infer plant facilitation from remote sensing? A test across global drylands
Xu, C., Holmgren, M., Van Nes, E.H., Maestre, F.T., Soliveres, S., Berdugo, M., Kéfi, S., Marquet, P.A., Abades, S. & Scheffer, M. (2015)
Ecological Applications 25 (6):1456-1462 [full text]

Local facilitation may cause tipping points on a landscape level preceded by early-warning indicators
Xu, C., Van Nes, E.H., Holmgren, M., Kéfi, S. & Scheffer, M. (2015)
American Naturalist 186 (4):E81-e90 [full text]

Temperate forest and open landscapes are distinct alternative states as reflected in canopy height and tree cover
Xu, C., Vergnon, R., Cornelissen, J.H.C., Hantson, S., Holmgren, M., van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. (2015)
Trends in Ecology and Evolution 30 (9):501–502 [full text]

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