Publications before 2012

2012 overview

Resonance of plankton communities with temperature fluctuations
Benincá, E., Dakos, V., Van Nes, E.H., Huisman, J. & Scheffer, M. (2011)
American Naturalist 178 (4):E85-E95 [full text]

Are we entering an era of concatenated global crises?
Biggs, D., Biggs, R., Dakos, V., Scholes, R.J. & Schoon, M. (2011)
Ecology and Society 16 (2)[full text]

Slowing down in spatially patterned ecosystems at the brink of collapse
Dakos, V., Kéfi, S., Rietkerk, M., van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. (2011)
American Naturalist 177 (6):E153-E166 [full text]

Trophic downgrading of planet earth
Estes, J.A., Terborgh, J., Brashares, J.S., Power, M.E., Berger, J., Bond, W.J., Carpenter, S.R., Essington, T.E., Holt, R.D., Jackson, J.B.C., Marquis, R.J., Oksanen, L., Oksanen, T., Paine, R.T., Pikitch, E.K., Ripple, W.J., Sandin, S.A., Scheffer, M., Schoener, T.W., Shurin, J.B., Sinclair, A.R.E., Soulé, M.E., Virtanen, R. & Wardle, D.A. (2011)
Science 333 (6040):301-306 [full text]

Abrupt regime shifts in space and time along rivers and connected lake systems
Hilt, S., Köhler, J., Kozerski, H.P., van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. (2011)
Oikos 120 (5):766-775 [full text]

Global resilience of tropical forest and savanna to critical transitions
Hirota, M., Holmgren, M., Van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. (2011)
Science 334 (6053):232-235 [full text]

Ambiguous climate impacts on competition between submerged macrophytes and phytoplankton in shallow lakes
Kosten, S., Jeppesen, E., Huszar, V.L., Mazzeo, N., Van Nes, E.H., Peeters, E.T. & Scheffer, M. (2011)
Freshwater Biology 56 (8):1540-1553 [full text]

Allied attack: climate change and eutrophication
Moss, B., Kosten, S., Meerhoff, M., Battarbee, R.W., Jeppesen, E., Mazzeo, N., Havens, K., Lacerot, G., Liu, Z.W., De Meester, L., Paerl, H. & Scheffer, M. (2011)
Inland Waters 1 (2):101-105 [full text]

Local ecosystem feedbacks and critical transitions in the climate
Rietkerk, M., Brovkin, V., van Bodegom, P.M., Claussen, M., Dekker, S.C., Dijkstra, H.A., Goryachkin, S.V., Kabat, P., van Nes, E.H., Neutel, A.M., Nicholson, S.E., Nobre, C., Petoukhov, V., Provenzale, A., Scheffer, M. & Seneviratne, S.I. (2011)
Ecological Complexity 8 (3):223-228 [full text]

Soil microbes drive the classic plant diversity-productivity pattern
Schnitzer, S.A., Klironomos, J.N., HilleRisLambers, J., Kinkel, L.L., Reich, P.B., Xiao, K., Rillig, M.C., Sikes, B.A., Callaway, R.M., Mangan, S.A., Van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. (2011)
Ecology 92 (2):296-303 [full text]

The anthropocene: From global change to planetary stewardship
Steffen, W., Persson, Å., Deutsch, L., Zalasiewicz, J., Williams, M., Richardson, K., Crumley, C., Crutzen, P., Folke, C., Gordon, L., Molina, M., Ramanathan, V., Rockström, J., Scheffer, M., Schellnhuber, H.J. & Svedin, U. (2011)
Ambio 40 (7):739-761 [full text]

Creation of a Gilded Trap by the High Economic Value of the Maine Lobster Fishery
Steneck, R.S., Hughes, T.P., Cinner, J.E., Adger, W.N., Arnold, S.N., Berkes, F., Boudreau, S.A., Brown, K., Folke, C., Gunderson, L., Olsson, P., Scheffer, M., Stephenson, E., Walker, B., Wilson, J. & Worm, B. (2011)
Conservation Biology 25 (5):904-912 [full text]

Predicting microbial nitrogen pathways from basic principles
Van de Leemput, I.A., Veraart, A.J., Dakos, V., De Klein, J.J.M., Strous, M. & Scheffer, M. (2011)
Environmental Microbiology 13 (6):1477-1487 [full text]

Positive feedbacks in seagrass ecosystems – Evidence from large-scale empirical data
van der Heide, T., van Nes, E.H., van Katwijk, M.M., Olff, H. & Smolders, A.J.P. (2011)
PLoS ONE 6 (1):e16504 [full text]

Effects of aquatic vegetation type on denitrification
Veraart, A.J., de Bruijne, W.J.J., de Klein, J.J.M., Peeters, E.T.H.M. & Scheffer, M. (2011)
Biogeochemistry 104 (1-3):267-274 [full text]

Warming can boost denitrification disproportionately due to altered oxygen dynamics
Veraart, A.J., de Klein, J.J.M. & Scheffer, M. (2011)
PLoS ONE 6 (3)[full text]

Spatial correlation as leading indicator of catastrophic shifts
Dakos, V., van Nes, E.H., Donangelo, R., Fort, H. & Scheffer, M. (2010)
Theoretical Ecology 3 (3):163-174 [full text]

Resilience thinking: Integrating resilience, adaptability and transformability
Folke, C., Carpenter, S.R., Walker, B., Scheffer, M., Chapin, T. & Rockström, J. (2010)
Ecology and Society 15 (4):20 [full text]

Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems: Spatial early warnings and management procedures (Inspired in the physics of phase transitions)
Fort, H., Mazzeo, N., Scheffer, M. & Van Nes, E. (2010)
Journal of Physics: Conference Series 246:012035 [full text]

The clumping transition in niche competition: A robust critical phenomenon
Fort, H., Scheffer, M. & Van Nes, E.H. (2010)
Journal of Statistical Mechanics: Theory and Experiment 2010 (5):P05005 [full text]

Navigating transformations in governance of Chilean marine coastal resources
Gelcich, S., Hughes, T.P., Olsson, P., Folke, C., Defeo, O., Fernández, M., Foale, S., Gunderson, L.H., Rodríguez-Sickert, C., Scheffer, M., Steneck, R.S. & Castilla, J.C. (2010)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 107 (39):16794-16799 [full text]

Strong facilitation in mild environments: The stress gradient hypothesis revisited
Holmgren, M. & Scheffer, M. (2010)
Journal of Ecology 98 (6):1269-1275 [full text]

Climate-dependent CO2 emissions from lakes
Kosten, S., Roland, F., Da Motta Marques, D.M.L., Van Nes, E.H., Mazzeo, N., Sternberg, L.D.S.L., Scheffer, M. & Cole, J.J. (2010)
Global Biogeochemical Cycles 24 (2)[full text]

Complex systems: Foreseeing tipping points
Scheffer, M. (2010)
Nature 467 (7314):411-412 [full text]

Spatial self-organized patterning in seagrasses along a depth gradient of an intertidal ecosystem
Van Der Heide, T., Bouma, T.J., Van Nes, E.H., Van De Koppel, J., Scheffer, M., Roelofs, J.G.M., Van Katwijk, M.M. & Smolders, A.J.P. (2010)
Ecology 91 (2):362-369 [full text]

Alternative stable states driven by density-dependent toxicity
van der Heide, T., van Nes, E.H., van Katwijk, M.M., Scheffer, M., Hendriks, A.J. & Smolders, A.J.P. (2010)
Ecosystems 13 (6):841-850 [full text]

Transdisciplinary EU science institute needs funds urgently
Vasbinder, J.W., Andersson, B., Arthur, W.B., Boasson, M., De Boer, R., Changeux, J.P., Domingo, E., Eigen, M., Fersht, A., Frenkel, D., Rees, M., Groen, T., Huber, R., Hunt, T., Holland, J., May, R., Norrby, E., Nijkamp, P., Lehn, J.M., Rabbinge, R., Scheffer, M., Schuster, P., Serageldin, I., Stuip, J., De Vries, J., Van Vierssen, W. & Willems, R. (2010)
Nature 463 (7283):876 [full text]

From scientific speculation to effective adaptive management: A case study of the role of social marketing in promoting novel restoration strategies for degraded dry lands
Westley, F., Holmgren, M. & Scheffer, M. (2010)
Ecology and Society 15 (3)[full text]

Resilience: Accounting for the noncomputable
Carpenter, S.R., Folke, C., Scheffer, M. & Westley, F. (2009)
Ecology and Society 14 (1)[full text]

Interannual variability in species composition explained as seasonally entrained chaos
Dakos, V., Benincá, E., Van Nes, E.H., Philippart, C.J.M., Scheffer, M. & Huisman, J. (2009)
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 276 (1669):2871-2880 [full text]

The paradox of the clumps mathematically explained
Fort, H., Scheffer, M. & van Nes, E.H. (2009)
Theoretical Ecology 2 (3):171-176 [full text]

Local ecosystem feedbacks and critical transitions in the climate
Rietkerk, M., Brovkin, V., Van Bodegom, P.M., Claussen, M., Dekker, S.C., Dijkstra, H.A., Goryachkin, S.V., Kabat, P., Van Nes, E.H., Neutel, A.M., Nicholson, S.E., Nobre, C., Petoukhov, V., Provenzale, A., Scheffer, M. & Seneviratne, S.I. (2009)
Biogeosciences Discussions 6 (5):10121-10136 [full text]

A safe operating space for humanity
Rockström, J., Steffen, W., Noone, K., Persson, Ã., Chapin, F.S., Lambin, E.F., Lenton, T.M., Scheffer, M., Folke, C., Schellnhuber, H.J., Nykvist, B., De Wit, C.A., Hughes, T., Van Der Leeuw, S., Rodhe, H., Sörlin, S., Snyder, P.K., Costanza, R., Svedin, U., Falkenmark, M., Karlberg, L., Corell, R.W., Fabry, V.J., Hansen, J., Walker, B., Liverman, D., Richardson, K., Crutzen, P. & Foley, J.A. (2009)
Nature 461 (7263):472-475 [full text]

Planetary boundaries: Exploring the safe operating space for humanity
Rockström, J., Steffen, W., Noone, K., Persson, A., Chapin Iii, F.S., Lambin, E., Lenton, T.M., Scheffer, M., Folke, C., Schellnhuber, H.J., Nykvist, B., de Wit, C.A., Hughes, T., van der Leeuw, S., Rodhe, H., Sörlin, S., Snyder, P.K., Costanza, R., Svedin, U., Falkenmark, M., Karlberg, L., Corell, R.W., Fabry, V.J., Hansen, J., Walker, B., Liverman, D., Richardson, K., Crutzen, P. & Foley, J. (2009)
Ecology and Society 14 (2)[full text]

Early-warning signals for critical transitions
Scheffer, M., Bascompte, J., Brock, W.A., Brovkin, V., Carpenter, S.R., Dakos, V., Held, H., van Nes, E.H., Rietkerk, M. & Sugihara, G. (2009)
Nature 461 (7260):53-59 [full text]

Chaos in a long-term experiment with a plankton community
Benincà, E., Huisman, J., Heerkloss, R., Jöhnk, K.D., Branco, P., van Nes, E.H., Scheffer, M. & Ellner, S.P. (2008)
Nature 451 (7180):823-826 [full text]

Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change
Dakos, V., Scheffer, M., van Nes, E.H., Brovkin, V., Petoukhov, V. & Held, H. (2008)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 105 (38):14308–14312 [full text]

Regime shifts in marine ecosystems: detection, prediction and management
deYoung, B., Barange, M., Beaugrand, G., Harris, R., Perry, R.I., Scheffer, M. & Werner, F. (2008)
Trends in Ecology and Evolution 23 (7):402-409 [full text]

Microscale vegetation-soil feedback boosts hysteresis in a regional vegetation-climate system
Janssen, R.H.H., Meinders, M.B.J., Van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. (2008)
Global Change Biology 14 (5):1104-1112 [full text]

Pulse-driven loss of top-down control: The critical-rate hypothesis
Scheffer, M., Van Nes, E.H., Holmgren, M. & Hughes, T. (2008)
Ecosystems 11 (2):226-237 [full text]

Adaptive management of the great barrier reef and the Grand Canyon world heritage areas
Hughes, T.P., Gunderson, L.H., Folke, C., Baird, A.H., Bellwood, D., Berkes, F., Crona, B., Helfgott, A., Leslie, H., Norberg, J., Nystrom, M., Olsson, P., Osterblom, H., Scheffer, M., Schuttenberg, H., Steneck, R.S., Tengoe, M., Troll, M., Walker, B., Wilson, J. & Worm, B. (2007)
Ambio 36 (7):586-592 [full text]

Shallow lakes theory revisited: various alternative regimes driven by climate, nutrients, depth and lake size
Scheffer, M. & van Nes, E.H. (2007)
Hydrobiologia 584:455-466 [full text]

The evolutionary basis of rigidity: locks in cells, minds, and society
Scheffer, M. & Westley, F.R. (2007)
Ecology and Society 12 (2):36 [full text]

Positive feedbacks in seagrass ecosystems: implications for success in conservation and restoration
Van der Heide, T., van Nes, E.H., Geerling, G.W., Smolders, A.J.P., Bouma, T.J. & Van Katwijk, M.M. (2007)
Ecosystems 10 (8):1311-1322 [full text]

Long transients near the ghost of a stable state in eutrophic shallow lakes with fluctuating water levels
Van Geest, G.J., Coops, H., Scheffer, M. & van Nes, E.H. (2007)
Ecosystems 10 (1):37-47 [full text]

A theory for cyclic shifts between alternative states in shallow lakes
Van Nes, E.H., Rip, W.J. & Scheffer, M. (2007)
Ecosystems 10 (1):17-27 [full text]

Slow recovery from perturbations as a generic indicator of a nearby catastrophic shift
Van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. (2007)
American Naturalist 169 (6):738–747 [full text]

Ecology – Globalization, roving bandits, and marine resources
Berkes, F., Hughes, T.P., Steneck, R.S., Wilson, J.A., Bellwood, D.R., Crona, B., Folke, C., Gunderson, L.H., Leslie, H.M., Norberg, J., Nystrom, M., Olsson, P., Osterblom, H., Scheffer, M. & Worm, B. (2006)
Science 311 (5767):1557-1558 [full text]

Positive feedback between global warming and atmospheric CO2 concentration inferred from past climate change
Scheffer, M., Brovkin, V. & Cox, P.M. (2006)
Geophysical Research Letters 33 (doi:10.1029/2005GL025044):L10702 [full text]

Small habitat size and isolation can promote species richness: second-order effects on biodiversity in shallow lakes and ponds
Scheffer, M., van Geest, G.J., Zimmer, K., Jeppesen, E., Sondergaard, M., Butler, M.G., Hanson, M.A., Declerck, S. & De Meester, L. (2006)
Oikos 112 (1):227-231 [full text]

Cascading effects of overfishing marine systems
Scheffer, M., Carpenter, S.R. & De Young, B. (2005)
Trends in Ecology & Evolution 20 (11):579-581 [full text]

Synergy between small- and large-scale feedbacks of vegetation on the water cycle
Scheffer, M., Holmgren, M., Brovkin, V. & Claussen, M. (2005)
Global Change Biology 11 (7):1003-1012 [full text]

Implications of spatial heterogeneity for regime shifts in ecosystems
Van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. (2005)
Ecology 86 (7):1797–1807 [full text]

Regime shifts, resilience, and biodiversity in ecosystem management
Folke, C., Carpenter, S., Walker, B., Scheffer, M., Elmqvist, T., Gunderson, L. & Holling, C.S. (2004)
Annual Review of Ecology Evolution and Systematics 35:557-581 [full text]

Overexploitation of renewable resources by ancient societies and the role of sunk-cost effects
Janssen, M.A. & Scheffer, M. (2004)
Ecology and Society 9 (1):http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol9/iss1/art6 [full text]

Large species shifts triggered by small forces
Van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. (2004)
American Naturalist 164 (2):255-266 [full text]

Sunk-cost effects and vulnerability to collapse in ancient societies
Janssen, M.A., Kohler, T.A. & Scheffer, M. (2003)
Current Anthropology 44 (5):722-728 [full text]

Catastrophic regime shifts in ecosystems: linking theory to observation
Scheffer, M. & Carpenter, S.R. (2003)
Trends in Ecology & Evolution 18 (12):648-656 [full text]

Floating plant dominance as a stable state
Scheffer, M., Szabo, S., Gragnani, A., van Nes, E.H., Rinaldi, S., Kautsky, N., Norberg, J., Roijackers, R.M.M. & Franken, R.J.M. (2003)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Science of the United States of America 100 (7):4040-4045 [full text]

Slow response of societies to new problems: Causes and costs
Scheffer, M., Westley, F. & Brock, W. (2003)
Ecosystems 6 (5):493-502 [full text]

Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems
Scheffer, M., Carpenter, S.R., Foley, J.A., Folke, C. & Walker, B. (2001)
Nature 413:591-596 [full text]

Socioeconomic mechanisms preventing optimum use of ecosystem services: an interdisciplinary theoretical analysis
Scheffer, M., Brock, W. & Westley, F. (2000)
Ecosystems 3 (5):451-471 [full text]

Alternative equilibria in shallow lakes
Scheffer, M., Hosper, S.H., Meijer, M.L., Moss, B. & Jeppesen, E. (1993)
Trends in Ecology and Evolution 8 (8):275-279 [full text]

Multiplicity of stable states in freshwater systems
Scheffer, M. (1990)
Hydrobiologia 200/201:475-486 [full text]

Alternative stable states in eutrophic, shallow freshwater systems: a minimal model
Scheffer, M. (1989)
Hydrobiological bulletin 23:73-83 [full text]

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