Publications 2012

<2012 2013 overview

General resilience to cope with extreme events
Carpenter, S.R., Arrow, K.J., Barrett, S., Biggs, R., Brock, W.A., Crépin, A.S., Engström, G., Folke, C., Hughes, T.P., Kautsky, N., Li, C.Z., McCarney, G., Meng, K., Mäler, K.G., Polasky, S., Scheffer, M., Shogren, J., Sterner, T., Vincent, J.R., Walker, B., Xepapadeas, A. & de Zeeuw, A. (2012)
Sustainability 4 (12):3248-3259 [full text]

Methods for detecting early warnings of critical transitions in time series illustrated using simulated ecological data
Dakos, V., Carpenter, S.R., Brock, W.A., Ellison, A.M., Guttal, V., Ives, A.R., Kéfi, S., Livina, V., Seekell, D.A., van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. (2012)
PLoS ONE 7 (7):e41010 [full text]

Robustness of variance and autocorrelation as indicators of critical slowing down
Dakos, V., Van Nes, E.H., D’Odorico, P. & Scheffer, M. (2012)
Ecology 93 (2):264-271 [full text]

The resilience and resistance of an ecosystem to a collapse of diversity
Downing, A.S., van Nes, E.H., Mooij, W.M. & Scheffer, M. (2012)
PLoS ONE 7 (9):e46135 [full text]

Does predator interference cause alternative stable states in multispecies communities?
Feng, J., Dakos, V. & van Nes, E.H. (2012)
Theoretical Population Biology 82 (3):170-176 [full text]

Detecting dynamical changes in nonlinear time series using locally linear state-space models
Ives, A.R. & Dakos, V. (2012)
Ecosphere 3 (6):art58 [full text]

Warmer climates boost cyanobacterial dominance in shallow lakes
Kosten, S., Huszar, V.L.M., Bécares, E., Costa, L.S., van Donk, E., Hansson, L.A., Jeppesen, E., Kruk, C., Lacerot, G., Mazzeo, N., De Meester, L., Moss, B., Lürling, M., Nõges, T., Romo, S. & Scheffer, M. (2012)
Global Change Biology 18 (1):118-126 [full text]

Bimodal transparency as an indicator for alternative states in South American lakes
Kosten, S., Vernooij, M., Van Nes, E.H., Sagrario, M.Á.G., Clevers, J.G.P.W. & Scheffer, M. (2012)
Freshwater Biology 57 (6):1191-1201 [full text]

Climate bifurcation during the last deglaciation?
Lenton, T.M., Livina, V.N., Dakos, V. & Scheffer, M. (2012)
Climate of the Past 8 (4):1127-1139 [full text]

Early warning of climate tipping points from critical slowing down: Comparing methods to improve robustness
Lenton, T.M., Livina, V.N., Dakos, V., Van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. (2012)
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 370 (1962):1185-1204 [full text]

Early detection of ecosystem regime shifts: A multiple method evaluation for management application
Lindegren, M., Dakos, V., Gröger, J.P., Gårdmark, A., Kornilovs, G., Otto, S.A. & Möllmann, C. (2012)
PLoS ONE 7 (7)[full text]

Anticipating critical transitions
Scheffer, M., Carpenter, S.R., Lenton, T.M., Bascompte, J., Brock, W., Dakos, V., van de Koppel, J., van de Leemput, I.A., Levin, S.A., van Nes, E.H., Pascual, M. & Vandermeer, J. (2012)
Science 338 (6105):344-348 [full text]

Thresholds for boreal biome transitions
Scheffer, M., Hirota, M., Holmgren, M., Van Nes, E.H. & Chapin, F.S. (2012)
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109 (52):21384–21389 [full text]

Ecosystem engineering by seagrasses interacts with grazing to shape an intertidal landscape
van der Heide, T., Eklöf, J.S., van Nes, E.H., van der Zee, E.M., Donadi, S., Weerman, E.J., Olff, H. & Eriksson, B.K. (2012)
PLoS ONE 7 (8):e42060 [full text]

Recovery rates reflect distance to a tipping point in a living system
Veraart, A.J., Faassen, E.J., Dakos, V., van Nes, E.H., Lürling, M. & Scheffer, M. (2012)
Nature 481 (7381):357-359 [full text]

Emergent neutrality leads to multimodal species abundance distributions
Vergnon, R., Van Nes, E.H. & Scheffer, M. (2012)
Nature Communications 3:663 [full text]

Flickering gives early warning signals of a critical transition to a eutrophic lake state
Wang, R., Dearing, J.A., Langdon, P.G., Zhang, E., Yang, X., Dakos, V. & Scheffer, M. (2012)
Nature 492 (7429):419-422 [full text]

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